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UFC 264 Predictions: Poirier Vs McGregor

how to bet on ufc 264 online

For the first in 16 months, the UFC comes back to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, for a major event. The main event of UFC 264 is a trilogy match between the promotion’s best player, Conor McGregor, and Dustin Poirier. Here’s how to bet on UFC 264 online. 

The McGregor vs Poirier 3 odds were also currently listed, with Poirier as the gambling favorite over McGregor.

McGregor has been relatively inactive recently, with this being only his fourth fight since the beginning of 2017. He has a 1-2 record in his previous three, including a knockout loss to Poirier in January.

Poirier vanquished his 2014 loss to McGregor with a win at UFC 257. He hopes to end that chapter and come back to a title fight with yet another statement victory over the Irishman. Continue reading to learn how to bet on UFC 264 and UFC 264 location.

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UFC 264 Predictions: McGregor vs. Poirier 3

The UFC 264 odds have been released by online sportsbook, with UFC 264 fight card Dustin Poirier at -120 and Conor McGregor at +100. It means that a $100 bet on Poirier would yield a $100 profit, whereas a $100 bet on McGregor would yield a $100 profit.

Looking at the UFC 264 odds for McGregor vs Poirier 3, our sports gambling calculator says that Poirier’s -120 odds have a 54.55 percent implied playoff odds. In comparison, McGregor’s +100 odds have a 50.00 percent implied win probability.

The primary card fight with Sean O’Malley (-900), preferred over UFC newcomer Kris Moutinho (+550), is the most significant favorite in the UFC 264 odds.

The middleweight prelim fight at UFC 264 has the tightest betting line, with Dricus Du Plessis (-115) slightly preferred over Trevin Giles (-105).

Main Card

  • Lightweight: Conor McGregor (+100) vs. Dustin Poirier (-120)
  • Welterweight: Gilbert Burns (+140) vs. Stephen Thompson (-170)
  • Heavyweight: Tai Tuivasa (-140) vs. Greg Hardy (+115)
  • Women’s Bantamweight: Irene Aldana (-120) vs Yana Kunitskaya (+100)
  • Bantamweight: Sean O’Malley (-900) vs. Kris Moutinho (+550)


  • Welterweight: Carlos Condit (+160) vs Max Griffin (-200)
  • Welterweight: Niko Price (+135) vs Michel Pereira (-165)
  • Middleweight: Trevin Giles (-105) vs Dricus Du Plessis (-115)
  • Featherweight: Ryan Hall (+190) vs Ilia Topuria (-240)
  • Women’s Flyweight: Jennifer Maia (-200) vs Jessica Eye (+160)
  • Middleweight: Omari Akhmedov (+140) vs Brad Tavares (-170)
  • Flyweight: Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-350) vs Jerome Rivera (+265)
  • Middleweight: Hu Yaozong (+115) vs Alen Amedovski (-140)

Odds & Prediction for Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier 3

Conor McGregor (+100) hopes to prevent his first-ever losing streak and come back to the winner’s circle for the first time in 19 months. Meanwhile, Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier (-120) is aiming for his third straight win since losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov in September 2019. Always watch the UFC 264 livestream for up to date UFC 264 betting odds, UFC 264 bonuses, how to get your UFC 264 payout, and information about UFC 264 parlay.

Details on McGregor: Things You Should Know

McGregor has started struggling since departing the featherweight division, with a 3-3 record at higher weight classes, along with a 1-2 record as a lightweight. However, his record remains a brilliant 22-5, with 19 victories coming via knockout. Each of his defeats has resulted in a stoppage, including a knockout.

As evidenced by his UFC 264 bets record, Notorious prefers standup combat, racking up less than one takedown every 15 minutes. He averages 5.32 significant strikes for every minute on the ground while absorbing 4.54. Furthermore, he only succeeds in 67 percent of takedown efforts.

The southpaw has superb timing and footwork. His understanding of range and distance frequently catches his opponents off guard. It pressures them to rush in on him, in which he meets them with a strategically placed left straight that wraps up the night.

McGregor’s main concerns for this fight are the leg kicks that severely injured him in his previous fight with Poirier and his questionable conditioning. During the first round in January, he hurt Poirier with his strong right hand, not his left.

McGregor’s most recent online UFC betting fights were against:

  • Khabib Nurmagomedov (loss – submission)
  • Donald Cerrone (win – knockout)
  • Dustin Poirier (loss – submission) (loss – knockout)

Details on Poirier: What You Should Know

While McGregor has struggled at lightweight, Poirier has shown the polar opposite, going 11-2 with one no-contest since progressing from featherweight. His record is 27-6 with 20 stoppage victories (13 knockouts and seven submissions) and four defeats (two knockouts, two submissions).

The Diamond is a complete mixed martial artist who can compete effectively anywhere the fight goes. He shows an average of 1.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, striking at 5.59 significant strikes for every minute and absorbing 4.17.

Poirier fights proficiently in a variety of positions. He has strong leg kicks at the range, which led to McGregor’s demise in January. He has excellent head mobility and is willing to go shot for shot in boxing range, and his grappling is no joke.

The longer this fight continues, the more the pendulum swings in Diamond’s favor. First, however, he must avoid throwing blind leg kicks because he was successful in the previous fight, as McGregor could reverse and turn off his lights.

Poirier’s most recent fights were against:

  • Khabib Nurmagomedov (loss – submission)
  • Dan Hooker (win – unanimous decision)
  • Conor McGregor (win – unanimous decision) (win – knockout).


Conor McGregor (+100) wins by knockout.